Handicrapping the Rs
According to Rear Clear Politics , these are the average polling numbers for the various Republican Presidential nominees: Poll Date Christie Ryan Bush Paul Huckabee Cruz Rubio Walker Jindal Spread RCP Average 12/14 - 1/26 14.0 13.0 12.6 11.0 -- 9.2 8.2 5.5 3.7 Christie +1.0 Here's my prediction with 3+ years to go: Jindal, Walker, Rubio, and Cruz have no chance to win the nomination at this point (Rubio might someday, but not this time around, the others never will). That leaves Huckabee, Paul, Bush, Ryan and Christie. I think this is the order of likelihood they could get nominated: 1 - Ryan 2 - Huckabee 3 - Christie (tho he would move up if he moves to the right) 4 - Paul 5 - Bush And this is the order of likelihood they could win against a random Democrat: 1 - Christie 2 - Ryan 3 - Bush 4 - Huckabee 5 - Paul And of those 5, I think only the top 2 have a chance to beat Hillary, tho any of the top 3 could win if they run a perfect campaign. Christie on